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Boxing: Khalid Yafai vs. Roman Gonzalez preview and pick

Roman Gonzalez (right) poses for photos during a weigh-in. (Photo by Williams Paul/Icon Sportswire)

Danny Howard

February 25th, 2020

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In a fight that can be either the last stand of a living legend or the coronation of a top-tier competitor, there is plenty to look out for when Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez faces off against Khalid “Kal” Yafai on Saturday, Feb. 29.

Though Gonzalez’s status as one of the best lower-division fighters of all time is set in stone, he is in prime position to add another title in the twilight of his career. Can Yafai’s youth and speed overcome Gonzalez’s guile and determination?

Khalid Yafai vs. Roman Gonzalez Odds

FighterOdds
Khalid Yafai
-175
Roman Gonzelez
+145

Gonzalez is far from finished

While Gonzalez is on the back nine and fighting in his fifth division, it still will take a special kind of fighter to beat him. His two losses to Srisaket Sor Rungvisai came against an elite fighter who skillfully used his size to walk Gonzalez down and hurt him repeatedly, but Yafai is not that big and doesn’t possess an elite skill set.

A textbook fighter who works behind his jab and speed, Yafai doesn’t have any qualities that can trouble the veteran. Yafai closing the gap to pressure Gonzalez would be an out-of-character move that would essentially give Gonzalez the fight.

What I like about the way Roman Gonzalez works out is that they focus a lot on accuracy and precision, not always going 100 mph.... #boxing pic.twitter.com/5Y2MmYFboz

— Steve Kim (@SteveKim323) February 8, 2020

Yafai has yet to be tested

Yafai has been active and visible, but there isn’t a lot to suggest he is a top fighter, beyond holding on to a title. He has fought meandering opponents for quite some time and looked average in victory, talked down unification fights against the other champions who would surely beat him, and only now is jumping on the chance to fight Gonzalez because he thinks Gonzalez is shot.

While Gonzalez is far removed from his prime, writing him off as a doormat would be unwise.

Feb 29 is going to be 🔥 #YafaiChocolatito

WBA Super-Flyweight ruler, @iam_yafai clashes with four weight World Champion Roman Gonzalez on our monster card in Texas! 🥊#GarciaVargas #MartinezHarris pic.twitter.com/ENPwHjZLW8

— Matchroom Boxing (@MatchroomBoxing) January 18, 2020

Gonzalez won't get flustered

Expect Yafai to style on Gonzales a bit during the feeling-out portion of the fight, but he'll comes up with no answers once Gonzalez makes his adjustments. Gonzalez will take a few rounds to get his activity going, but he’ll punch first and tie Yafai up at the end of his combinations to throw his younger opponent off his rhythm.

Frustrated and desperate, Yafai’s inexperience will only open him up to more punishment, as Gonzalez will deliver a vintage performance down the stretch. Gonzalez has more than enough in the tank for Yafai, so the call here is a Chocolatito upset on the cards.

Boxing free pick: Gonzalez (+145)


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