NCAAF Week 3 upsets to watch

Week 3 of the college football season is here, and we are going after some bad favorites again. We have cashed in on a few this year, and has more than paid the price of admission. This week we need to really focus because oddsmakers are getting better, and we need to keep up! Here are my five outright upsets to watch (all games Saturday).

Kansas State (+7) at Mississippi State, noon ET, ESPN

Kansas State has put up 50 points and 547 yards per game this year. With a mix of Skylar Thompson throwing the ball and James Gilbert running, the Wildcats have an offense to be reckoned with. The defense hasn’t been that bad either, with only 14 points total allowed in two games this season.

A tough test is ahead, with a Week 3 road trip to Mississippi State, which is favored by a touchdown strictly because of the conference it plays in and home-field advantage. I wasn’t impressed last week, when the Bulldogs only put up 386 yards against Southern Miss. Take the points and take Kansas State outright.

Georgia Southern (+16) at Minnesota, 3:30 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network

We are again going after the Gophers, who got lucky to beat us last week. But there may not be any miracles this week, as a tough Georgia Southern squad comes to town.

Minnesota has narrowly survived against South Dakota State and Fresno State. We attempted to take the Gophers down on the moneyline in both, but took losses on heartbreaking plays.

If we look at previous years for Minnesota, this is a run-first team that doesn't score more than 40 often. Examining their first two games, the Gophers allowed 35 and 21 points. When you have an offense that historically doesn't light up the scoreboard and a defense that hasn't been great this year, that leads me to believe that Minnesota should not be favored by two scores.

Stanford (+9) at Central Florida, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

It is important to remember—when you make picks, you don’t necessarily need to have angles on both teams. Strong opinions aren’t always available for both sides of a bet. Many times I will only talk about one side, and that’s because my opinion on that team is the sole source for why I am taking the game. This bet is a perfect example of that.

I am done with Central Florida and believe its time is over. The Knights have been on an amazing run the past few seasons, but they are doomed. Mckenzie Milton, the star quarterback who went down late last year with a gruesome leg injury, was the leader of this team and he led the program into uncharted territory. With him sidelined, almost all the staple players on those teams have departed. The last few seasons were an outlier for UCF, and it is time for the Knights to fall back down to reality.

North Texas (+14) at California, 4:15 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network

Let’s face it—both teams aren’t very good offensively. When both teams struggle to score, why would a team be favored by 14? This line is awful. California struggled with UC Davis, then came back to defeat ranked Washington last week. Are the Bears on the right path, or do they lack consistency? We cannot simply look at California's win in Washington and crown the Bears Pac-12 champions. The Mean Green keeps it close and Cal lets down a little after a huge victory.

Florida (-8) at Kentucky, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

This might be the biggest upset of the year thus far if we can hit. Florida defeated rival Miami to open the season and then took care of business last week.

But what do we know about Florida the last couple of seasons? We know that the offense disappears at times and the defense has won games.

Kentucky has been getting better every year, and 10 years ago Florida would have been favored by two touchdowns. Oddsmakers don't foresee a blowout, and I don't either.

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Whether you like favorites or underdogs this weekend, find all the college football action you need at BetAmerica!