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NASCAR: 2021 Busch Clash at Daytona preview and value picks

Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin race four wide during the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series 1000Bulbs.com 500.

Robert Criscola

February 5th, 2021

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The 43rd annual Busch Clash at Daytona is set for Tuesday night (7 p.m., FS1) at Florida’s legendary Daytona International Speedway. In a unique twist, this exhibition event will be held on the 14-turn road course, and not the familiar 2.5-mile superspeedway that the Cup Series drivers will be competing on in next Sunday’s Daytona 500.

The Busch Clash will be a 35-lap race, with a competition caution scheduled for Lap 15. The field has not been set yet (random draw scheduled for Monday), but oddsmakers have understandably established defending 2020 Cup Series Champion Chase Elliott as the +175 favorite. The No. 9 Chevrolet driver has won five straight NASCAR events on road courses.

Chase Elliott burns it down — big win at Daytona’s Road Course #NASCAR pic.twitter.com/yHW54RxjHS

— Daren Stoltzfus WESH (@DarenStoltzfus) August 16, 2020

The Cup Series’ other preeminent road driver – Martin Truex Jr. – is the second-choice at an unappetizing +300. Let’s go looking for some value as we make our selections for the Busch Clash at Daytona.

Kevin Harvick (+1000)

NASCAR’s regular season champion – Kevin Harvick – had a streak of six straight Top 10 finishes in road races interrupted by a spin-out and a 17th-place result in the inaugural Cup Series event at the Daytona Road Course. Harvick has a chance to right that wrong in the Busch Clash at fair odds.

On this day in 2017, Kevin Harvick wins at Sonoma! pic.twitter.com/uOk2HN7SzP

— NASCAR PICTURES (@Nascarpixtures) June 25, 2020

Harvick has two career victories on road courses (Sonoma 2017, Watkins Glen 2006) and is second only to Elliott in average finishing position (12.57). The No. 4 Ford driver is a respectable fifth among active Cup Series competitors in laps led on road courses as well.

Kyle Busch (+1100)

Road courses have not been kind to Kyle Busch lately, but he’s worth a gamble at these odds on Tuesday night.

Busch has just one Top 5 result in his last six road races, but his career average finishing position is a solid 14.92. “Rowdy” has also led more laps on road courses than any active driver (364).

Busch has four career road event victories, the most recent of which came at Sonoma in 2015.

Ryan Blaney (+1300)

Elliott (five wins) and Truex (two wins) have dominated the last eight road races in the Cup Series, but Ryan Blaney did manage a victory in that span.

WHAT A FINISH.

Ryan @Blaney wins the inaugural @NASCAR Cup Series race at @CLTMotorSpdwy's ROVAL as Martin Truex Jr. and Jimmie Johnson spin in the final corner! #BofAROVAL #NASCARPlayoffs pic.twitter.com/yHuFmmuxmi

— NBC Sports (@NBCSports) September 30, 2018

He was the beneficiary of the infamous Truex/Jimmie Johnson chicane wreck at the Charlotte Roval in September of 2018, but he wasn’t just lucky that day. Blaney won Stage 2 and led 16 laps in that heat.

The No. 12 Ford driver has five Top 10s in his last six road races, and has the third-highest average finishing position (13.17) of any active driver on road courses.

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