NBA betting trends: The Bulls have been a reliable road underdog
Chicago Bulls center Wendell Carter Jr. (34) sets a screen on Los Angeles Clippers forward Kawhi Leonard (2) as Chicago Bulls guard Zach LaVine (8) drives past. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)
January 28th, 2021
We've completed a quarter of the NBA season and now have a strong set of data to determine trends.
Let's break down the latest metrics from around the league and determine which trends you should take advantage of for the 2020-21 NBA season.
Season Shifting
This season had been all about taking Unders and underdogs. However, the past week saw some shifting back to the norm. In the past seven days, favorites were 30-22 ATS and home favorites were 20-14 ATS.
Utah and Denver are the only two teams though that are reliable betting favorites though. The Jazz are 11-5 ATS as a favorite, and the Nuggets are 8-5 ATS as a favorite.
Shake N' Fake. Jordan Clarkson just dropped 31 on the Mavs.
— SLAM (@SLAMonline) January 28, 2021
(via @utahjazz) pic.twitter.com/AJ9egDXDtG
Another shift is in the totals. Over the past seven days, the Over has hit in 30 of the 51 games played that did not have a push on the total.
Six teams have a greater than 60% win percentage on the Over in their games played. However, the Nuggets (13-5) and the Nets (14-6) are the two teams with greater than a 70% win percentage on the Over in their games played.
Chicago trends hard
The season may be shifting for the NBA overall, but the Chicago Bulls are following the same trends they have all season long. The Bulls are an amazing 8-1 ATS as a road underdog. They are also 7-1 ATS in all games where they have one day off between games. Chicago is 8-2 ATS in games against the Western Conference, and 6-2 ATS in games following a straight-up loss.
Bernie the Bull 😂 @bennythebull
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) January 24, 2021
(via @chicagobulls)pic.twitter.com/UJhmax0gV5
The Bulls also have some strong trends towards Overs. The Over is 3-0 in Bulls games when they have had 2-3 days off between games. The Over is also 7-3 in games between the Chicago Bulls and a Western Conference team.
Mini series trends
The mini series are off and running and had a big week. There are still a few trends in these to follow, but the season shift seems to be affecting them as well.
In the 14 mini series that have been played in the Western Conference, the Under is 16-12 and the team that lost the first game against the spread is 9-5 ATS in the second. These are decent numbers, but in the past week, the Under is 1-7 and the team that lost the first game against the spread is 1-3 ATS in the second. The shift is real.
In the 18 mini series that have been played in the Eastern Conference, the team that covered the first game is 11-7 ATS in the second games. The underdog is 18-10 ATS in these mini series games.
ADVERTISEMENT
