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Suns vs. Bucks: The best Devin Booker prop bets for Game 4

Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker drives to the basket against the Los Angeles Clippers. (Photo by Keith Birmingham/Zuma Press/Icon Sportswire)

Dan Halverson

July 13th, 2021

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The home team has dominated all three contests in the 2021 NBA Finals, with the Milwaukee Bucks having won the most recent affair, 120-100. Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo played on another level, tallying 41 points and 13 rebounds, while the Suns’ best player, Devin Booker, struggled mightily in the loss.

After averaging 29.0 points per game in two home games, Booker went just 3-14 from the field and scored 10 points in Game 3. Will the two-time All-Star bounce back in Game 4, or will he struggle again?

Let’s take a look at the three best betting props for Booker heading into Wednesday night's game.

Over/Under 27.5 Points 

Booker is averaging 26.3 points per game, and shooting an impressive 37% from the 3-point line during the playoffs. He has dropped to 33% through three games in the Finals, but as a career 35% shooter from deep, the young sharpshooter is a reliable outside threat who gets plenty of looks.

THE SUNS TAKE A 2-0 LEAD!!

Final: Suns 118, Bucks 108

Devin Booker: 31 Pts, 6 Ast, 5 Reb
Mikal Bridges: 27 Pts, 7 Reb
Chris Paul: 23 Pts, 8 Ast, 4 Reb
Deandre Ayton: 10 Pts, 11 Reb, 3 Stl, 2 Blk pic.twitter.com/IwEp2FFCN9

— Suns Nation (@SunsNationNBA) July 9, 2021

In the first two games and in the regular season, Booker took more than 20 shots per game. His 14 attempts in Game 3 were essentially an aberration, so much like a horse handicapper will draw a line through a bad race from a high-class horse with consistent results, we’ll toss Sunday night’s results and assume Booker will bounce back in Game 4.

If Booker shoots over 20 times and continues the aggressive play, he will be in a good place to contribute 25 points from the field and 5-10 from the line. This is a sharp line, but Booker’s roots in the NBA are as a scorer, and his competitive streak will allow him to surpass this number.

Pick: Over 27.5 Points (-117)


Over/Under 4.5 Assists

The Suns have played 19 postseason games so far, and Booker has gone Over 4.5 assists on 10 occasions. Granted, he tallied only two dimes in Game 3, but he had six assists in each of the first two games of the series.

Chris Paul is the biggest shot creator on the team, but Booker can be just as dangerous as a distributor off the pick and roll, especially considering how many weapons the Suns possess. Deandre Ayton finishes well at the rim, Mikal Bridges has been on fire, and Jae Crowder has been hitting threes at an above-average rate. Let’s continue to bank on Booker having a bounce back game and take the Over 4.5.

Pick: Booker Over 4.5 Assists (-105)


Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds

Booker has only surpassed 5.5 rebounds in two of his last five playoff games. With Ayton continuing to accelerate his development and becoming a double-double machine, Booker is needed less in the paint to pull down misses.

This was clean, Devin Booker 🤭#NBAFinals pic.twitter.com/Lm0TWRvlan

— ESPN (@espn) July 7, 2021

Jae Crowder is also a consistent rebounder and Mikal Bridges' athleticism gives him the opportunity to haul in several misses per night. It's important to note that Booker is putting in most of his work on defense on the perimeter, leaving him with fewer opportunities to even attempt rebounds.

Booker needs to have a big role in Game 4 if the Suns are going to win, but it doesn’t have to be on the glass. Take the Under.

Pick: Under 5.5 Rebounds (-148)

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