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nba

Suns vs. Clippers: The best Paul George prop bets for Game 6

L.A. Clippers guard Paul George. (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

Dan Halverson

June 30th, 2021

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The Los Angeles Clippers pulled off an improbable upset win on Monday evening in Phoenix to bring the Western Conference Finals series to 3-2 and force Game 6 back in Los Angeles. The Clippers are short favorites, and will once again rely on their perennial All-Star, Paul George, to carry the load if they are to continue the series and force Game 7.

George had 41 points and 13 rebounds in Game 5 and has logged the most minutes of any player this postseason. As we head into Game 6, here are the three best player props for L.A.'s top dog.

Over/Under 30.5 points

George has been given the green light to fire at will throughout the playoffs, and in the absence of any elite isolation scorers, the Clippers are going to lean heavily on him to create offense again tonight.

"PG13" is averaging 30.2 points per game in this series after adding 41 points in the Game 5 victory. He is also averaging 23 shots per game, which is an incredible number of scoring opportunities for a player who also lives at the line.

PAUL GEORGE in GM5🔥

41 PTS
20 PTS in 3rd Q
15/20 FG
13 REB
6 AST
3 STL
1 anklebreaker on CP3pic.twitter.com/XQJfpb8Ah1

— Ballislife.com (@Ballislife) June 29, 2021

The Clippers are at their best when other players are facilitating the offense to create ball movement, but regardless of the direction they take, there is little doubt that George will be the main focus of their offensive game plan. Take the Over on George’s point total and count on him staying on pace with the number of shots he’s taken through the first five games of this series.

Pick: Over 30.5 points (-108)


Over/Under 2.5 3-Point field goals made

In a somewhat correlated play, I like George to hit at least three 3-pointers in Game 6. The seven-time All-Star has the size to shoot relatively uncontested threes, and has been just successful enough to keep firing away.

Paul George in the playoffs

Minutes: 1st
Points: 1st
Free Throws: 1st
Rebounds: 3rd
3-Pointers: 3rd
Field Goals: 3rd
Assists: 5th
Steals: 6th

Kawhi went down and PG led the Clippers to their first WCF and is averaging 29/11/6 since. That Pandemic P talk is dead, give it a rest. pic.twitter.com/odg6ihX8hR

— Top Ball Coverage (@TopBallCoverage) June 27, 2021

Through five games, George has made 15 threes on 49 attempts. At three made treys per game, the odds suggest we’ve got a great chance at hitting over 2.5, and as a career 38% shooter he has the pedigree to make even more. As long as he doesn’t have a terrible shooting night, George should be heavily favored to cash this Over.

Pick: Over 2.5 3-point field goals made (-177)


Over/Under 6.5 Assists

The Clippers' offense is most effective when Terance Mann, Reggie Jackson, and even Marcus Morris Sr. are forcing action. Mann and Jackson are especially good at getting into the teeth of the defense and then kicking out to George when they attract double coverage. When George starts the offense, on the other hand, he tends to over dribble and only pass when he has to reset, which has resulted in relatively low assist numbers given his total usage.

George is averaging just 5.2 assists per game in the series, and tallied just six in Game 5 despite having his most impactful game yet. I don’t expect the Clippers to change their offensive strategy with George, so take the Under on his assists total tonight as he continues to aggressively look for his own shot.

Pick: Under 6.5 assists (-134)

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