NFL Week 12 Parlay: Ravens working back into playoff picture

Since taking over as starter in 2018, Patrick Mahomes has led Kansas City to the playoffs every year, compiling a 17-4 postseason record that includes a 3-2 record in five Super Bowl appearances, but the Chiefs enter Week 12 in playoff jeopardy, outside the bubble at 5-5 following two consecutive losses. They’re not the only presumed Super Bowl contender without margin for error, with Baltimore also sitting at 5-5, but Mahomes and Lamar Jackson still have time to get back on course.

YouBet.com is studying the action and has incorporated the Ravens game into one of our three best bet wagers, recommending the following Week 12 parlay. All lines courtesy of BetMGM, times listed as Eastern Standard Time.

NFL Week 12 Parlay (+581): Titans +13.5 - Under 44.5 – Cowboys +3.5

Seahawks at Titans, Nissan Stadium, 1 p.m.

Titans have covered two straight against playoff contenders (both at home), holding improved Texans to 16 points last week and losing by one score to the Chargers in a competitive contest. The Seahawks looked like Super Bowl contenders earlier this month, outscoring opponents by a 15.5-point average during a four-game win streak, but it's difficult to sustain form over a long season. Seahawks exit road loss to Rams, limited to less than 20 points for first time since season-opening loss as Sam Darnold threw four interceptions, and Darnold is 0-5 ATS next game after throwing at least three interceptions. Seahawks remain formidable defensively, but the Titans’ stop unit has improved in recent weeks (holding last two opponents to respectable 4.9 yards per play). The Seahawks' EPA has dropped in recent weeks, and they will look to control the clock if they get out to an early lead. Since 2011, 11+ point road favorites are 3-7 ATS.

Pick: Titans +13.5

Jets at Ravens, M&T Stadium, 1 p.m.

The Ravens were 1-for-4 in the red zone last week and have lacked scoring production in the first half, averaging 8.1 points and scoring more than 10 first-half points only once over the previous six games. Lamar Jackson returned as soon as possible from a knee injury, but he’s not the same rusher (10 rushing yards on four carries last week) and has been inconsistent in the pocket, completing 31 of 54 passes for a TD and two interceptions the last two games; look for a heavy dose of Derrick Henry. No faith in Jets offense; they’ve been terrible coming off an extended rest (4-12-1 ATS since 2020), and Ravens have held last five opponents to under 20 points.

Pick: Under 44.5

Eagles at Cowboys, AT&T Stadium, 4:25 p.m.

The Cowboys made moves to improve their defense at the trade deadline and appear to be clicking. And this is a favorable spot despite losing three consecutive games to the Eagles. Dak Prescott exits a sharp performance, completing 25 of 33 passes for four TDs, and the veteran owns a 31-13 ATS record vs divisional foes in his career, winning 18 consecutive home games. The Eagles continue to win ugly, prevailing in the last two games despite scoring only 26 combined points, utilizing strong defensive performances to offset a lack of offensive production (the Eagles average only 87.8 rushing yards in road games). Jalen Hurts 4-8-1 ATS in road divisional games, and the surging Cowboys will be a challenge.

Pick: Cowboys +3.5