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Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) rolls out of the pocket. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)
October 28th, 2021
Kyler Murray has been incredible this season, and finds himself as the favorite to win NFL MVP honors. The 24-year-old QB will try to stay undefeated and continue his remarkable season tonight when the Arizona Cardinals host the Green Bay Packers.
We've examined the matchup closely and have the three best player prop bets for Murray below.
This season has been different for Murray compared to his first two in the league. After averaging 34.0 and 51.2 rushing yards per game in each of his first two years in the NFL, he is only averaging 18.0 yards per game this season.
However, the attempts per game are still there as he is averaging 6.1 rush attempts per game. That is more than he averaged his rookie year, and just two less than last year. Defenses have focused on taking away his running ability, but are quickly realizing he is even more deadly with his arm.
A @K1 DIME to @AJGreen_18 on 3rd and 24. #RedSea📺: #HOUvsAZ on CBS📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/TOWzxd2QXC— NFL (@NFL) October 24, 2021
A @K1 DIME to @AJGreen_18 on 3rd and 24. #RedSea📺: #HOUvsAZ on CBS📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/TOWzxd2QXC
The Packers' run defense has not been good, and that includes against quarterbacks. They have allowed 33.9 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks this season. That includes two games against non-running quarterbacks, Jimmy Garoppolo and Ben Roethlisberger, who combined for a total of five yards rushing. Last week, Taylor Heinicke broke out for 95 yards rushing. I expect to see a little more of the old Kyler Murray running game tonight.
It is uncommon for a quarterback passing touchdown total to be anything other than 1.5. However, it is understandable given the season that Murray is having thus far. He has thrown for three or more touchdowns in four of the seven games this year, and each of the past two games.
Kyler to Kirk! The @AZCardinals extend their lead. #RedSea📺: #HOUvsAZ on CBS📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/PDNcqTCkCt— NFL (@NFL) October 24, 2021
Kyler to Kirk! The @AZCardinals extend their lead. #RedSea📺: #HOUvsAZ on CBS📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/PDNcqTCkCt
The Packers have allowed 14 passing touchdowns through seven games so far, but five of those came in Week 1 against the New Orleans Saints. The defense has really stepped up since that game. Thursday night games have been going under the projected total at a strong rate (5-2), and allowing three passing touchdowns just seems unlikely.
Murray has averaged 33.9, 34.9, and 31.9 pass attempts per game in each of his first three seasons in the NFL. Since throwing for 36 pass attempts in Week 2 against Minnesota, Murray has progressively thrown fewer passes in each game this season. Last week, he only had 28 pass attempts.
I already like this to be a bigger rushing game for Murray than his previous games this season. And he has only surpassed this total in one game this year. The Packers only allow 34.1 pass attempts per game. This game just does not seem like the type of game that will call for a ton of attempt from Murray.
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