Italy vs. England: The best player prop bets for the Euro 2020 Final

It took 50 matches and 140 goals, but we have now reached the 90 minutes that will decide the new European champions. Italy meet England in the Euro 2020 final at Wembley, with Gareth Southgate’s side appearing in their first major international tournament final in over half a century. The Azzurri, meanwhile,  are far more experienced, having won this tournament in 1968 and then making the final in 2000 and 2012.

As we get set for the curtain to come down on Euro 2020, here are the three best player prop bets for the big game.

Raheem Sterling Over/Under 0.5 Shots on Target

It’s an obvious one to start with, but Raheem Sterling looks certain to test Gianluigi Donnarumma between the sticks on Sunday. The Man City star has shaken off any question marks about his from by bagging three goals already in this competition – and he could have had more, with one unbelievable chance against Denmark in the semi-final only a couple of minutes before he forced the own goal.

Sterling has averaged a shot every 37 minutes in this competition, and is one of the most accurate players on the field statistically, with 57% of his attempts at Euro 2020 finding the target. A huge 32% of all England’s shots on target have come from Sterling, and the winger is full of confidence as he showed in the semi-final. He completed nine successful dribbles and had six shots on goal against Denmark, and if he continues that run of form, we should certainly see this prop bet come in.

Pick: Over 0.5 Shots on Target (-200)

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Federico Chiesa Over/Under 0.5 Shots on Target

England have only allowed their opponents eight shots on goal per game, but Italy are the highest ranked team in the competition for goal attempts, racking up a huge 18 shots per game so far. That’s a total of 108 shots, exactly double the amount England have attempted.

That shows how much more willing the Azzurri are to try their luck, and none more so than Chiesa who averages a shot every 25 minutes at Euro 2020. 36% of his attempts have been on target, but those numbers seem to suggest that this bet has every chance of clicking.

Chiesa will be spurred on by the fact he has found the net in two of Italy’s three knockout games, and in that span, he has had four shots in target. 27% of his attempts have come from outside the area, and after Jordan Pickford was found out by a long rang effort in the semi-final, don’t be surprised if Chiesa tries the same.

Pick: Over 0.5 Shots on Target (-137)

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Mason Mount Over/Under 0.5 Shots on Target

While Mason Mount has had a fantastic tournament for the Three Lions, it looks like a solid bet to back him not to test the keeper during the Euro 2020 final. England have managed an average of just 4.2 shots on target per game this tournament and now face one of the stingiest defences possible, with the Italians allowing just 2.3 shots on target per game against them.

Assuming England finish the game with three or four attempts on target, it seems unlikely any of them will fall to Mount. He’s had seven shots so far at Euro 2020, averaging an attempt on goal every 52 minutes, but with an accuracy rate of just 29%.

At his current tournament rate, Mount manages a shot on target just once every 183 minutes. With chances set to be few and far between in this final, it’s unlikely Mount will test the keeper.

Pick: Under 0.5 Shots on Target (-167)

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