Premier League parlay picks for Matchweek 30

Between the FA Cup Quarterfinals and an international break, we’ve had a couple of weeks without a full slate of Premier League games to get stuck into. But now, as we spend the weekend gorging on chocolate courtesy of a generous, over-sized rabbit, we can also feast on some thrilling top-flight action.

This four-leg parlay pays out handsomely and starts with West Brom’s trip to Chelsea.

Chelsea vs. West Brom: Under 2.5 Goals 

The odds suggest this game could be high-scoring and very one-sided as Chelsea look to cement their position in the top four, while West Brom circle the drain towards relegation. And while Chelsea are worthy favourites to win, recent form suggests backing Under 2.5 Goals is the value play.

The Blues have been on a great run under new gaffer Thomas Tuchel, and are unbeaten in 14 games under his regime. 13 of those 14 games have featured Under 2.5 goals.

At West Brom, Sam Allardyce has tried to make them difficult to beat, and although that hasn’t really worked – they’ve picked up just six points from the last 21 – they haven’t been getting hammered. Their last seven games have all featured Under 2.5 goals, including matches against Tottenham, Man United, and Everton.

This is the early game of the weekend, and with plenty of players returning from international duty, a little bit of fatigue in the legs might give this bet an extra bit of help as well.

Leeds to beat Sheffield United

There’s a tasty Yorkshire derby on Saturday as well as Leeds take on local rivals Sheffield United. Leeds’ position in mid-table is about right for a team that when they’re good can be incredibly good, but when they’re bad, can be disastrous.

Recent wins against Southampton and Fulham have been split by defeats to Aston Villa and West Ham where they couldn’t create anything. They didn’t have a single shot on target against Chelsea in a 0-0 draw in mid-March, but a point against the high-flying Londoners wasn’t a bad result.

Sheffield United are preparing for life in the Championship and a rebuilding job under a new gaffer. They’ve lost six of their last seven league games and conceded 15 goals along the way.

Back Marcelo Bielsa’s side to send the Blades one step closer to relegation.

Arsenal to beat Liverpool

You have to go back five years to find the last time Liverpool won an away game against Arsenal, and the Reds have only won one of their last nine visits to the Gunners in all competitions. The international break will have been a welcome relief for the Premier League champs, who will be handing their crown to Manchester City soon enough.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have lost six of their last eight league games, with their two wins coming against Wolves and Sheffield United.

In comparison Arsenal have shown plenty of grit in the last month to put together a run of four league games without defeat. They came from behind to beat both Leicester and Tottenham, and rallied back from 3-0 down to draw 3-3 with West Ham in a London derby before the break.

This is not the top-four defining match we would have presumed it could have been before the season began, but despite both teams’ fall from grace, the Gunners are finishing the season the stronger.

Manchester United to beat Brighton

The Premier League title race is more of a procession for the blue half of the city, as Pep Guardiola’s men march towards the crown. But Manchester United’s form isn’t bad – in fact going back five months and the Red Devils have lost just once in 23 league games, albeit that was a shocking home defeat to Sheffield United.

Brighton put the brakes on a bad patch of league form with back-to-back wins against Southampton and Newcastle, but they have never in their history won at old Trafford. Dating back to 1909 their record reads played 12, drawn two, lost 10.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men have won 10 of their 12 matches against teams in the bottom eight this year, and they can sweep the Seagulls aside on Sunday.