NFL Prop Bets: Player Milestones and Records to Watch (2025-26)

Wide angle view of a football field centered on the 50 yard line. (Photo courtesy of Shutterstock)
The 2025 NFL Season is rapidly approaching. As we gear up for the season, you should know what the 2025 NFL prop bets season has to offer. For the last several NFL seasons, bettors have been able to wager on player props, team prop bets, and more through prominent names like FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook.
Like a quarterback looking to carve up a defense, a few helpful tips can keep you ahead of the competition. There are numerous player prop bets and team records to watch. NFL seasons are already exciting, but they can be even better when you have bets on the action.
NFL Team Records to Watch
Team records are always a fun thing to wager on. How well do you know ball? Will the team with the rookie quarterback do well or struggle? Which playoff team will disappoint the league and fall off? These are just a few record predictions for teams that aren’t easy to project.
Team | Win Total | Projection |
Arizona Cardinals | 8.5 | Over |
Cleveland Browns | 4.5 | Over |
Los Angeles Chargers | 8.5 | Under |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | Over |
Arizona Cardinals Over 8.5 Wins (-125)
The Cardinals had one of the more interesting seasons in the NFL last season. Though they finished 8-9, they were in the thick of the playoff race until the final weeks. They are a young group, but expect them to be challengers for the NFC West crown as early as this season.
Quarterback Kyler Murray is back and fully healthy. His 21 passing touchdowns should be a prelude to bigger things this year. With James Conner racking up rushing yards and one of the best tight ends in the game in Tre McBride, this should be a dangerous goal-line team. The defense is also greatly improved, making the Cardinals one of the best bets in the coming season.
Cleveland Browns Over 4.5 Wins (-140)
Injuries decimated the Browns last season, quickly reverting them to one of the laughingstocks of the league. The situation at quarterback is also abysmal, making the odds of any success significantly tougher than anyone could reasonably expect.
It might be one of the riskier bets out there, but the Browns could be a little bit of a surprise. Wide receiver is still an issue, which doesn’t help with these quarterbacks. Scores will be closer than the line indicates every week because the Browns are a well-coached team. Unless injuries decimate them again, the Browns should be competitive and even catch a few opponents off guard.
Los Angeles Chargers Under 8.5 Wins (+125)
Speaking of injuries, they do play a role for each team. That is why the Chargers went from one of the safe bets to exceed their win total to being a major question mark. The offensive line took a major hit as Rashawn Slater will miss the season due to injury.
As far as team props go, this is one of the tougher ones to pick. Quarterback Justin Herbert is one of the most unheralded in the league. Jim Harbaugh will have his men prepared. That said, wide receiver has question marks, and this is one of the toughest divisions in the league. It will be a game-by-game process for the Chargers, whose odds no doubt took a hit.
Player Props and Milestones to Watch
If determining which team will have a breakout season sounds like too much of a challenge, there are player props to watch instead. Depending on the NFL career, we could be seeing a breakout season, a trying rookie season, and more. Who will dominate in the running game? What props should you watch in the passing game? These are the milestones worth checking out.
Player | Milestone | Projection |
Brock Bowers | 1,025 receiving yards | Over |
D.K. Metcalf | 925.5 receiving yards | Over |
Caleb Williams | 3,625.5 passing yards | Under |
Joe Burrow | 4,225.5 passing yards | Over |
Josh Allen | 27.5 passing touchdowns | Over |
Ashton Jeanty | 7.5 rushing touchdowns | Over |
Bijan Robinson | 1,200.5 rushing yards | Over |
Brock Bowers – Over 1025.5 Receiving Yards
Bowers had the rookie season to end all rookie NFL seasons. When it comes to the NFL prop bets for the 2025 season, Bowers should be a focal point of the Raiders' offense again. In 2024, he received an incredible 153 targets as a rookie, something that tight ends typically do not see.
He more than produced last season, racking up 1,194 receiving yards on 112 receptions – rookie records. His five receiving touchdowns perhaps leave a little wanting, but last season feels like just the beginning. He’s had a strong training camp with new quarterback Geno Smith, so 2025 could be one of those NFL seasons that live on in history.
D.K. Metcalf – Over 925.5 Receiving Yards
Last season was perhaps the most frustrating in all of Metcalf’s six NFL seasons. His 66 receptions and 992 receiving yards are among the lowest since his rookie season. Though the Seahawks liked to throw, Metcalf seemed to catch the ball with less regularity.
Though Metcalf caught the fewest touchdowns of his career with just five, he figures to be a favorite each week for veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Both are looking to prove that last season was a single-season disappointment. Of the 2025 NFL props, Metcalf may be one of the most intriguing depending on his number of targets.
Caleb Williams – Under 3625.5 Passing Yards
Of all the hot topics to talk about during the 2025 NFL season, the Chicago Bears may be the hottest. The past has not been kind to the Bears, and this offseason proved to be a pivotal one. Williams will be back as the starter with new head coach Ben Johnson coming over from the Detroit Lions.
Williams was merely okay last season after coming in as the vaunted No.1 overall pick. Many expected him to be on the level of Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen, but he will need to find the end zone more often to do that. There is a lot to love about his game, but the first year under a new coach presents a challenging set of odds. Expect Williams to show potential but fall short of becoming the first Bear to top 4,000 passing yards.
Joe Burrow – Over 4225.5 Passing Yards
Don’t let the huge passing yards total dissuade you. Burrow is looking for a second consecutive season of more than 4,000 passing yards, managing to throw for a league-high 4,918 yards last season. With 43 scores, Burrow looks to take the league under his command.
The Bengals' defense is set to be abysmal once again, which means that there will be plenty of targets to go around. Anything under 4,500 passing yards and 35 passing touchdowns would be a disappointment, making this one of the few slam-dunk player prop bets out there. Finding quality odds is more of a challenge, but the Bengals offense with Burrow at the helm will be dangerous every game.
Josh Allen – Over 27.5 Touchdown Passes
Allen, the defending NFL MVP, is one of the more interesting props out there. He has a ton of guys who catch the ball at wide receiver, but no clear-cut No.1 wide receiver like he had when Stefon Diggs was in town.
Even still, Allen remains productive. He hasn’t had fewer than 28 passing touchdowns since his second season in 2019. There are plenty of targets to go around, and several guys who are more than adept at making the catch. If there were props out there considered sure bets, this is one of them.
Ashton Jeanty – Over 7.5 Rushing Touchdowns
Jeanty is the most hyped running back taken in the NFL Draft in years, and with good reason. The sixth overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, Jeanty produced at a level that few running backs manage with their college play.
His three seasons at Boise State were dazzling, but the 2,601 rushing yards and 29 rushing touchdowns last season were off the charts. He has the kind of home run ability to his play that makes him an instant weapon. So long as injuries and line play don’t hinder him, Jeanty should be one of the most explosive rookies in the league and find the end zone with regularity.
Bijan Robinson – Over 1200.5 Rushing Yards
This might feel like one of the safe bets out there, and the odds (-114 at FanDuel) certainly indicate that. What’s most interesting about Robinson is his ability as a receiver. He saw a reduction in targets a year ago, dropping by more than 50 receiving yards and falling from four receiving touchdowns to just one.
That said, he saw a massive surge in rushing yards last season. By the final game of the season, he had amassed more than 1,450 rushing yards, a nearly 500-yard jump from his rookie season. Handing him the ball could become a safety valve for second-year quarterback Michael Penix Jr.
Props Take Betting to a New Level
The 2025 NFL season should be an exciting one. With changing betting lines, fantasy football, and a litany of prop bets to choose from, there is no shortage of interesting options out there for entertainment purposes.
No matter how you play, do so responsibly. The competition will be fierce this season, and knowing who will have a breakout season is just part of the process. Will you find the next Jalen Hurts in your fantasy drafts, or will you scour the odds to find the best props?
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