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Cooper Kupp #18 of the Rams. (Photo by Icon Sportswire)
December 21st, 2023
Since their bye in Week 10, the Los Angeles Rams have been on a tear, winning four of their last five, with a lone loss in overtime at Baltimore.
Matthew Stafford is playing at a top level, Cooper Kupp is seemingly back to his old self, and Kyren Williams is averaging 124.25 yards per game since returning from injury.
On Thursday night, the newly revived Rams will host the 7-7 New Orleans Saints, who currently ride a two-game win after beating up on 2-12 Carolina and the 5-9 New York Giants.
Below YouBet gives you our three prop bets to wager on for Thursday's matchup between the Saints and Rams, and we create a three-leg, same-game parlay that you can play as a no-sweat bet at sportsbooks like DraftKings (opt-in required).
Coming off injured reserve ahead of a Week 5 matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles, Kupp kicked off his 2023 campaign with a 118-yard outing before hauling in 148 yards and a score in a 26-9 win over Arizona the following week. But Kupp was a shell of himself from Weeks 7-13 and added an ankle injury to his issues in mid-November.
In the Week 14 overtime loss to Baltimore, Kupp bounced back, pulling down eight of 10 targets for 115 yards and a touchdown against the seventh-ranked pass defense in the league. The Saints rank one spot above Baltimore, but New Orleans has played one of the weakest schedules of the season.
In their last two games, the Saints faced the bottom two passing offenses, and have matched up against four top-10 passing offenses all season. In those games, the Saints surrendered 12.65 yards per reception. Their overall average for the season is 9.9.
Moreover, the Saints play man coverage at the fourth-highest rate in the league, and Kupp is the Rams' top guy against man coverage, with a 32% target rate. Look for the 2021 NFL Offensive Player of the Year to have a standout performance in prime time as he goes for his third straight 100-yard outing of the season.
We keep pushing. Onwards. @RamsNFL pic.twitter.com/W43buNfOh7— Cooper Kupp (@CooperKupp) September 19, 2023
We keep pushing. Onwards. @RamsNFL pic.twitter.com/W43buNfOh7
With Kupp likely to expose the Saints defense, the veteran has a good chance to reach paydirt as well. Kupp has recorded a touchdown in three straight contests, one of which was a 62-yarder while the two others came in goal-line situations.
Kupp has scored in three of six home games this season and caught five touchdown passes across six home games played in 2022. Moreover, in 2021, nine of his 16 touchdown receptions came at home. He'll be in prime territory to add another score on Thursday night.
New Orleans will get receiver Chris Olave back and Rashid Shaheed returned last week after missing time with a thigh injury. With the receiving corps mostly intact, Derek Carr will look to push the ball downfield against a Rams defense that has surrendered 256 yards per contest over the last three games (fifth worst in the league).
Against the run, the Rams have played much better, holding Washington to 79 yards on 21 carries (3.8 yards-per-carry average), and the run-stop unit stuffed the Browns' ground game, allowing 87 yards on 23 attempts.
Even more concerning for New Orleans, right tackle Ryan Ramcyzk is out with a knee injury and backup Landon Young was much better in pass protection than run blocking last week. That could make life more difficult for Kamara and with the Rams likely to have their way through the air on Thursday, the Saints may need to rely more on the pass to keep up with L.A.
Cooper Kupp Over 70.5 receiving yards (-115) + Cooper Kupp anytime TD scorer (+120) + Alvin Kamara Under 52.5 rushing yards (-120) = +440
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