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December 9th, 2023
We enter on a three-week win streak, winning four of the last five weeks with our teaser play, and expect to keep the momentum rolling in Week 14. A couple of anticipated matchups with serious playoff implications, Buffalo-Kansas City and Philadelphia-Dallas, will be included.
Teasers adjust point spreads in the bettor’s favor, providing an opportunity to play multiple games in a single bet without being locked into the existing odds in a standard parlay.
We’ll play the six-point teaser option at +260 ($100 win returns $360, including investment).
Indianapolis doesn’t stop anybody. Tampa Bay (23rd-ranked scoring offense) and Tennessee (25th-ranked scoring) combined to score 55 points on the Colts the last two weeks. The Colts bring it offensively, dropping at least 27 points per game in five of the last six. Look for them to carry their form forward against a Cincy defense that has allowed more than 25 points per game over the last four contests. Jake Browning was spectacular in his second start last week, completing 32 of 37 passes for 354 yards and a touchdown in a 34-31 win over heavily favored Jacksonville. And while it will be difficult to sustain such excellence, he’s positioned for more success against a soft Indianapolis defense. We expect a high-scoring game.
Buffalo is the fifth-highest scoring team in the league (27.3 points per game) and the Bills are playing their best football presently, scoring 69 points since Joe Brady took over as offensive coordinator two games ago. After a strong showing at Philadelphia, Buffalo received its bye in Week 13, and coach Sean McDermott is 6-0 after the bye. The Bills have something to play for as they try to make a serious playoff push, and Kansas City is still seeking an identity after losing three of its last five games. The Chiefs led the league in yards and points scored during their Super Bowl run last season, but they’ve regressed this season, averaging only three points per game in the fourth quarter to rank last in the league. The wide receiver play is below standard, Kansas City does not possess a high-scoring offense, and we’ll gladly grab more than a touchdown with surging Buffalo.
Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are the only two players with 100 or more total touchdowns since 2021.5 things to watch for in #BUFvsKC: https://t.co/8bPAypVY5z pic.twitter.com/VRjQugka1p— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 8, 2023
Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are the only two players with 100 or more total touchdowns since 2021.5 things to watch for in #BUFvsKC: https://t.co/8bPAypVY5z pic.twitter.com/VRjQugka1p
Denver has gone under in six of its last seven games, and Russell Wilson has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in seven of the Broncos' last eight, including a three-interception performance at Houston last week. The Broncos have not been a good road team, but their defense has improved in recent weeks, allowing only 18 points per game while facing potential playoff teams over the last three contests. Los Angeles lost three straight, before a 6-0 win over New England last week, and the Chargers are banged-up, averaging only 12 points per game over the last three. Lacking faith in both offenses, we will grab the Under in this spot.
Dallas was caught looking ahead last week, edging past Seattle 41-35 after a sloppy defensive performance, but the Cowboys will have an edge for the biggest home game of the season. The Cowboys excel at home, winning every contest since the 2022 opener, and own a 6-2 ATS record versus Philadelphia in the last eight home meetings. Dak Prescott will pad his MVP credentials against a soft Philadelphia pass defense — the Eagles signed Shaq Leonard last week after an embarrassing showing by their linebackers and secondary in a lopsided San Francisco loss. And the high-flying Cowboys (highest scoring offense in the league at 32.3 points per game) are licking their chops to get after a defense that has allowed 76 points the last two weeks. Philadelphia will have the opportunity to get its defense settled before the postseason, but this is the wrong time to be visiting Dallas. We like Dallas straight up and will grab points in a teaser.
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