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Building the Bankroll: NFL Week 9 Expert Betting Picks 2024

Lamar Jackson leads a high-scoring Baltimore offense (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

James Scully headshot
James Scully

November 1st, 2024

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The second half of the 2024 NFL regular season is underway, and YouBet is tuned into the Week 9 action. Check out the following Week 9 picks; all lines courtesy of BetMGM, and times are listed as Eastern.

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Commanders at Giants (1 p.m.): Under 44.5

The Over has covered in two of the last four games for the Giants despite their failure to score more than 20 points this season, and the Over has gone 5-3 in eight Commanders games. Washington ranks third in scoring offense (29.5 points per game), and this won’t be the low-scoring slugfest that the total indicates.

Jayden Daniels leads a dynamic passing attack, but Washington also runs the ball effectively (165.8 rushing yards per game) and faces a Giants defense that ranks last in yards allowed per rush (5.8 yards). The Commanders are more balanced than earlier in the season, winning 21-18 over New York in Week 2, but the Giants have also improved offensively.

Malik Nabers, who had 10 catches for 127 yards versus Washington earlier this season, will be motivated after a couple of key drops against Pittsburgh last week, and the Giants had success passing for 237 yards and rushing for 157 yards against a respected Steelers defense. Defense remains a vulnerability for the Commanders, and New York will put up a fight against its high-scoring divisional rival.

Broncos at Ravens (1 p.m.): Over 46.5

The Broncos have won five of their last six games, scoring at least 28 in three of the last four, and Baltimore’s defense has lost its identity, surrendering 31 points to Tampa Bay and 29 points to Cleveland in the last two weeks. The Ravens struggle to pressure opposing quarterbacks, allowing too many big plays while compiling a surprising 5-3 record, and Bo Nix enters with eight touchdowns and one interception over the last six games.

Baltimore maintains a legitimate chance to overwhelm Denver. The Ravens will be in rebound mode after an upset loss, but their struggling pass defense gave up 334 passing yards and three touchdowns to Jameis Winston last week. The Broncos are better equipped to score points, and we expect a high-scoring game.

Jaguars at Eagles (4:05 p.m.): Jaguars +7.5

The Jaguars enter 2-6 but have performed better last two games, doubling up New England 32-16 and losing on a last-second field goal to Green Bay. And they’re dangerous in the underdog role, covering three consecutive games and four of five this season when receiving points.

The Eagles bring a three-game win streak, defeating the lowly Giants and Bears before winning comfortably at Cincinnati last week, but they are 0-2 ATS when favored by five or more points this year. Jacksonville’s defense is soft, but it has the offense to stay within the point spread. Trevor Lawrence is starting to find a groove (multiple touchdown passes in four of the last five games), and an improved passing attack opens holes for Tank Bigsby, who ranks fifth in the NFL with 5.8 yards per carry. 

Rams at Seahawks (4:25 p.m.): Rams . -1

Injuries and the retirement of Aaron Donald, arguably the greatest interior defensive lineman of the modern era, led to inconsistent play earlier in the season, but the Rams have won two straight and face a winnable road scenario against Seattle’s porous defense.

The Seahawks have declined in recent weeks, ranking 32nd in total defense (432.3 yards) and 30th in run defense (182.3) over the last three games, and the Rams have Kyren Williams rolling, leading an improved ground game that put up 107 rushing yards on Minnesota’s quality run defense last week. Los Angeles outgained Minnesota by a 386-276 margin in total yards, holding the Vikings’ high-scoring offense to six points in the second half.

The Rams look poised to get back into the playoff picture and NFC West race if they can keep their performing at the same level. And we want no part of Seattle, which recorded 32 rushing yards in an ugly home loss to Buffalo last week.

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