Chiefs' Super Bowl odds spike following Mahomes injury
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes rolls out of the pocket. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)
October 18th, 2019
The Kansas City Chiefs snapped their two-game losing streak with a win in Denver on Thursday night but lost their biggest asset in the process.
Reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes dislocated his right knee on a quarterback sneak near the goal line in the first half of the Chiefs’ 30-6 victory over the Broncos. The third-year quarterback was already dealing with an ankle injury, which hindered him in Kansas City’s two losses to Indianapolis and Houston.
In those games Mahomes completed just 56.4% and 54.3% of his passes and threw just one touchdown against the Colts. He also threw his only interception of 2019 against the Texans.
On Friday an MRI determined no significant damage to Mahomes’ knee, but he will seek additional opinions to determine the best path to recovery. Kansas City will plan for Mahomes’ return later in the season, but it’s uncertain how soon he might be back.
Reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes dislocated his right knee on a quarterback sneak near the goal line in the first half of the Chiefs’ 30-6 victory over the Broncos. The third-year quarterback was already dealing with an ankle injury, which hindered him in Kansas City’s two losses to Indianapolis and Houston.
In those games Mahomes completed just 56.4% and 54.3% of his passes and threw just one touchdown against the Colts. He also threw his only interception of 2019 against the Texans.
On Friday an MRI determined no significant damage to Mahomes’ knee, but he will seek additional opinions to determine the best path to recovery. Kansas City will plan for Mahomes’ return later in the season, but it’s uncertain how soon he might be back.
The MRI has confirmed the #Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes suffered a dislocated kneecap, but not significant additional damage, sources tell me and @JamesPalmerTV. He’ll seek additional opinions to be sure. The plan is for him to return this season after a brief absence.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) October 18, 2019
In light of Mahomes’ questionable status, the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds dropped from +520 to +1050 overnight.
Odds to win the Super Bowl
| Team | Super Bowl Odds |
|---|
New England Patriots | +190 |
New Orleans Saints | +700 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +1050 |
San Francisco 49ers | +1250 |
Green Bay Packers | +1275 |
In Mahomes’ absence on Thursday, backup Matt Moore stepped in and completed 10 of his 19 passes for 117 yards and one touchdown against the Broncos. But chances are the Chiefs won’t have much hope for a Super Bowl run unless Mahomes is under center.
The Chiefs’ longer odds could be seen as a value play at the moment, in the event Mahomes can suit up later in the season and lead Kansas City on a playoff run. However, the Chiefs have already demonstrated severe weakness on defense, particularly against the run, and the Colts and Texans provided blueprints for victory.
The Chiefs’ longer odds could be seen as a value play at the moment, in the event Mahomes can suit up later in the season and lead Kansas City on a playoff run. However, the Chiefs have already demonstrated severe weakness on defense, particularly against the run, and the Colts and Texans provided blueprints for victory.
#Chiefs fans:
— Peyton2Luck™️ (@Peyton2L) October 13, 2019
‘#Colts only won because Tyreek Hill was out’
‘#Colts won the lottery beating us...’
‘Mahomes just had a bad night’
Reality:
Another #AFCSouth team just beat the #Chiefs on their home field
pic.twitter.com/AiIaxN3v5T
The Chiefs sit in first place in the AFC West with a 5-2 record. The Raiders are in second at 3-2 and are the only other team with a winning record in the division.
Unfortunately for the Chiefs, their next two games are against two solid defenses—Green Bay and Minnesota. If Mahomes returns in three weeks, likely the best-case scenario, he’ll meet with the Los Angeles Chargers’ No. 5 pass defense before Kansas City’s bye week.
From Week 13 on the Chiefs get New England and Chicago on the road, plus Oakland, Denver and the Chargers at home. Each of those teams, except the Raiders, rank inside the top 10 in total defense and pass defense.
Mahomes led Kansas City to the AFC Championship Game last season, and the Chiefs had hopes of going even further this year. But if Mahomes is still shaky once he comes back, Kansas City will have a long road to the Super Bowl in 2019.
Unfortunately for the Chiefs, their next two games are against two solid defenses—Green Bay and Minnesota. If Mahomes returns in three weeks, likely the best-case scenario, he’ll meet with the Los Angeles Chargers’ No. 5 pass defense before Kansas City’s bye week.
From Week 13 on the Chiefs get New England and Chicago on the road, plus Oakland, Denver and the Chargers at home. Each of those teams, except the Raiders, rank inside the top 10 in total defense and pass defense.
Mahomes led Kansas City to the AFC Championship Game last season, and the Chiefs had hopes of going even further this year. But if Mahomes is still shaky once he comes back, Kansas City will have a long road to the Super Bowl in 2019.
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