Sports Betting
Sports Betting OffersNFL BettingCollege Football BettingNBA BettingCollege Basketball BettingSoccer BettingLegal States for Betting SportsLegal Sportsbooks for Betting Sports
Online Casinos
Casino OffersCasino NewsBlackjack strategyPoker strategyVideo PokerRoulette strategySlots strategyClassic SlotsBacarrat strategy
Betting Odds & Lines
NFL OddsCollege Football OddsNBA OddsCollege Basketball OddsNHL OddsSoccer OddsGolf OddsBoxing OddsMMA OddsNASCAR Odds
Picks, Teasers, Parlays
NFL Free Expert PicksNCAAF Free Expert PicksNCAAB Free Expert PicksNBA Free Expert PicksMLB Free Expert Picks
Sportsbooks
BetMGM ReviewFanDuel ReviewBetRivers ReviewFanatics ReviewRecommended SportsbooksLegal Sportsbooks by State
Resources & Guides
How to bet on NFLHow to bet on NCAAFHow to bet on NBAHow to bet on NCAABHow to bet on SoccerHow to bet on Golf
Trending News
Sports Trade RumorsSports Injury ReportsCasino News
NFLBet NFL FuturesBet NFL Super Bowl OddsBet NFL NFC Championship OddsBet NFL AFC Championship OddsBet NFL MVP Odds

Sports Betting

Sports Betting OffersNFL BettingCollege Football BettingNBA BettingCollege Basketball BettingSoccer BettingLegal States for Betting SportsLegal Sportsbooks for Betting Sports

Online Casinos

Casino OffersCasino NewsBlackjack strategyPoker strategyVideo PokerRoulette strategySlots strategyClassic SlotsBacarrat strategy

Betting Odds & Lines

NFL OddsCollege Football OddsNBA OddsCollege Basketball OddsNHL OddsSoccer OddsGolf OddsBoxing OddsMMA OddsNASCAR Odds

Picks, Teasers, Parlays

NFL Free Expert PicksNCAAF Free Expert PicksNCAAB Free Expert PicksNBA Free Expert PicksMLB Free Expert Picks

Sportsbooks

BetMGM ReviewFanDuel ReviewBetRivers ReviewFanatics ReviewRecommended SportsbooksLegal Sportsbooks by State

Resources & Guides

How to bet on NFLHow to bet on NCAAFHow to bet on NBAHow to bet on NCAABHow to bet on SoccerHow to bet on Golf

Trending News

Sports Trade RumorsSports Injury ReportsCasino News
nfl

Cowboys vs. Saints: The best Dak Prescott player prop bets for TNF

Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott (right) celebrates a touchdown with quarterback Dak Prescott. (Photo by Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire)

Josh Powell

December 2nd, 2021

SHARE

Fresh off the back of a thrilling Thanksgiving Day shootout with the Las Vegas Raiders, the Cowboys are looking to get out of a rut that has seen them go 1-3 since Dak Prescott returned from injury. Dallas still dominates the NFC East and can now put things right as they travel to New Orleans to face the Saints.

Things aren’t going much better for New Orleans, who are 0-4 after starting the season 5-2, and have an injury ward overflowing with talent. QB Taysom Hill might be without Alvin Kamara, who is questionable with a knee injury, and that puts the Saints up against it as they take on the NFL’s most dangerous offense.

Here are the three best player prop bets for Dak Prescott as the Cowboys look to get back on track.

Over/Under 280.5 Passing Yards

Prescott fans must be feeling good about this line after watching the Cowboys’ star QB in action on Thanksgiving. Without his two star wide receivers in Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb, Prescott still completed 68% of his 47 passes for 375 yards and two touchdowns. It was his third-highest passing yards game of the year.

Things are looking up for Dak, who will welcome back Lamb, who has cleared the concussion protocol and is back at practice. Amari Cooper (COVID-19) has a good chance of suiting up, but Michael Gallup and Cedrick Wilson proved they can both step up as they each went for more than 100 yards over the Raiders.

Prescott has thrown for an average of 293.2 yards per game this season (ranked fifth in the NFL), and has beaten this line in four of his last six matches – although in his two previous matches with the Saints he’s thrown for just 249 yards (Week 13 2018) and 223 yards (Week 4 2019).

Oh this throw is beautiful. @dak

Here come the @dallascowboys!

📺: #LVvsDAL on CBS
📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/0GPDQdcrMP

— NFL (@NFL) November 26, 2021

But this is a Saints team you can, and probably should, throw on. Despite their run defense getting torched in the last two games – giving up a combined 355 yards on the ground to the Eagles and Bills – New Orleans has the third strongest run defense in the league, and will try to stuff Zeke, who is not 100% healthy.

Their pass defense, on the other hand, ranks 23rd, and they’ve given up over 251 yards per game this season. The Saints give up 7.3 yards per attempt, while Prescott is averaging 7.8 yards per attempt on the season. The Cowboys are road favorites here in a game that has one of the higher slates of the week, so we’re taking the Over.

Pick: Over 280.5 Passing Yards (-115)


Over/Under 35.5 Pass Attempts

Prescott threw the ball 47 times against the Raiders, as the Cowboys mounted a second half comeback, and that’s still not his highest tally of the season. In Week 1 he threw 58 times in that wild game against Tampa Bay, and then in Week 6 he threw 51 times against New England. Overall this season, Dak has thrown an average of 37.6 passes per game, with only Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Ben Roethlisberger attempting more.

What is more relevant here, is what Prescott has done most recently in line with Ezekiel Elliott’s ongoing knee issues. As tough as Zeke is, he's clearly playing hurt. In the Cowboys' first seven games this year, Zeke played a total of 72% of offensive snaps. In the last four weeks that number has dropped to 58.8%.

#DallasCowboys respond! @dak drops it to @Mckeon_Sean!

📺: #LVvsDAL on CBS
📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/ouE7LRLqa0

— NFL (@NFL) November 25, 2021

While Zeke’s usage has dropped, Prescott’s has gone up. He averaged 36 pass attempts before the Week 7 bye (even including those two monster 50+ games), but since Week 9 when Zeke has been limited, Prescott’s average attempts per game have gone up to 40.

Elliott says he’s playing on Thursday, and we’ve no reason to think otherwise, but the Cowboys may manage his snaps and that will lead to more pass plays for Dak. The Over price is a value play.

Pick: Over 35.5 Pass Attempts (+100)


Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions

Given I’m on the Over for Prescott pass attempts, it comes as no surprise that I’m on that side for completions as well. But for good reason. Prescott is the only player in the NFL this year averaging more than 32 pass attempts per game and completing more than 69% of them. He has been deadly accurate this year, and his 69.4% completion rate is the highest it’s been in his six years with the Cowboys.

Look at @dak ball out 🔥

📺: #LVvsDAL on CBS
📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/AeV4Sijt11

— NFL (@NFL) November 26, 2021

That figure would jump up to 71.8% if you disregard the Week 9 anomaly against Denver. Prescott was returning from missing a game with a calf strain and posted a completion rate of just 48.7% - the second-worst completion rate of his entire career.

Prescott has completed 26.1 passes per game on average this year, but that figure jumps even higher to 28 completions per game when you look at the last three weeks when Zeke has been limited.

If, as we hope, he chucks the ball at least 36 times and maintains his average completion rate this year, we should clear the 23.5 line with ease.

Pick: Over 23.5 Pass Completions (+134)

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

NFL

Suggested Articles

Online casino play with dice, chips, card, and a roulette table on a phone.

FanDuel Casino Bonus Code Michigan: Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Excited fan winning a sports bet.

Same Game Parlay Strategy: Best SGP Betting Strategies

Current Trade Rumors Update for February 17, 2025

ADVERTISEMENT

Colorado

Bet $5 Get $250 in Bonus Bets if You Win!

21+ (18+ D.C.) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call  1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800)-327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

Fanatics Sportsbook logo

Bet and Get up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets

Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN).

Fanatics Sportsbook logo

Get a Guaranteed Win Every Day For Your First Week

Spin to win for free every day, with Casino Credit, Free Spins, FastCash, merch, and more to be won! Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER.

First Bet Offer up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

100% Deposit Match up to $1,000 Plus $25 on the House

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Welcome to YouBet™, your daily destination to read the latest news and stories on sports, sports betting, gambling, wagering, and games of chance.

Bet on Sports

NFL BettingCollege Football BettingNBA BettingCollege Basketball BettingSoccer BettingGolf BettingBoxing BettingMMA BettingNASCAR Betting

How to Bet on Sports

How to bet on NFLHow to bet on NCAAFHow to bet on NBAHow to bet on NCAABHow to bet on SoccerHow to bet on Golf

Online Sports Betting

Sportsbook OffersSports Betting OddsSportsbooks by StateExpert Picks for SportsSportsbook OperatorsOnline Horse Betting Offers

About

Terms & ConditionsPrivacy & SecurityCookie PreferencesWager ResponsiblyDo Not Sell or Share My InfoAbout Us

Copyright © Churchill Downs Technology Initiatives Company, All Rights Reserved. This site is solely for entertainment purposes and does not contain any real money wagering. YouBet.com does not promote betting or wagering to users under the relevant legal age in their jurisdiction. Online gambling is not legal in some jurisdictions. Prior to wagering online, it is your responsibility to review local regulations. We encourage responsible gaming and provide resources for individuals who may (or know someone who may) have a gaming addition. Churchill Downs Technology Initiatives Company and its affiliates, officers, directors, and employees do not take responsibility for your actions.

Content intended for a 21+ audience. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler or find assistance with the National Council on Problem Gambling.