NFL Week 15 Betting Guide
December 9th, 2019
The Baltimore Ravens will try to extend their league-leading nine-game winning streak on Thursday when they host the New York Jets at M&T Bank Stadium. John Harbaugh's squad has already clinched a playoff berth, but another victory could help them lock up the top seed in the AFC for the first time in franchise history. We have odds and analysis for New York vs. Baltimore as well as all of the biggest Week 15 trends and storylines from around the National Football League.
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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
The race for the top of the AFC South comes to a head on Sunday, as the 8-5 Texans square off with the 8-5 Titans in Tennessee.
Houston currently possesses the projected fourth seed in the AFC, but a loss to Tennessee will move the Titans into a wild-card spot and put the Texans’ chances of a postseason berth in jeopardy.The Texans have fallen in two of their last four games, including a 41-7 walloping by Baltimore in Week 11 and Sunday’s 38-24 home loss to Denver.
Rookie Drew Lock completed 22 of 27 passes for 309 yards and three scores against Houston’s defense, while Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson connected on just 28 of 50 passes and chucked up two interceptions. Receiver Keke Coutee also lost a fumble returned for a touchdown in the first quarter, as the Texans continued to dig a hole and entered halftime down 31-3.
Over in Oakland, the Titans blasted the Raiders 42-21 and scored their fourth straight win. Ryan Tannehill completed 21 of 27 passes for 391 yards, three touchdowns and tossed one interception, while Derrick Henry unleashed 103 yards on the ground and added a pair of touchdowns.
Since naming Ryan Tannehill the starting QB in Week 7, the Titans have the 2nd-most offensive TDs and are scoring the 2nd-most PPG (31.4) in the NFL over that span. pic.twitter.com/1rbm9WrljB
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) December 9, 2019
Tannehill is now 6-1 as Tennessee’s starter since taking over for Marcus Mariota in Week 7. The Titans are three-point home favorites in Sunday’s clash with the Texans—the first of two matchups against Houston remaining on the schedule.
The Texans are 11-4-1 against the spread in their last 16 games against Tennessee, but the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six and the favorite is 8-2 in the last 10.
The Texans are 11-4-1 against the spread in their last 16 games against Tennessee, but the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six and the favorite is 8-2 in the last 10.
Bet on Texans vs. Titans here.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
The 7-6 Bears have a 2% chance of reaching the postseason, and Sunday’s game in Green Bay could seal their fate.The 10-3 Packers moved into the No. 2 seed on Sunday, after San Francisco beat New Orleans and Green Bay advanced past Washington, 20-15.
Running back Aaron Jones went off for 134 yards on 16 carries and scored once on the Redskins, who came within striking distance of Green Bay in the final two minutes of regulation. The Packers held off the comeback attempt and left Lambeau Field with their second consecutive win since falling to San Francisco 37-8 in Week 12.
Aaron Jones tells Landon Collins “Out of my way” pic.twitter.com/TC44LKLJrB
— Overtime Heroics New York City (@OTHNewYorkCity) December 9, 2019
On Sunday, the Packers welcome familiar foe Chicago and already own a win over their division rival this season. In the 2019 season opener, Green Bay edged out Chicago 10-3 in a mundane Thursday Night Football showdown, as both offenses floundered in the first half.
Bears QB Mitch Trubisky completed 26-of-45 passes back in Week 1 and racked up 228 yards through the air, plus one interception. In his last two games, the third-year signal-caller has registered an average passer rating of 116.8 and completed 75.2% of his passes. He’s also recorded seven total touchdowns in that time.
The Bears are five-point underdogs and are 0-4 against the spread in their last four road games. They’re also 2-5 ATS in the last seven versus the NFC and 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings with Green Bay.
Bears QB Mitch Trubisky completed 26-of-45 passes back in Week 1 and racked up 228 yards through the air, plus one interception. In his last two games, the third-year signal-caller has registered an average passer rating of 116.8 and completed 75.2% of his passes. He’s also recorded seven total touchdowns in that time.
The Bears are five-point underdogs and are 0-4 against the spread in their last four road games. They’re also 2-5 ATS in the last seven versus the NFC and 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings with Green Bay.
Bet on Bears vs. Packers here.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Los Angeles Rams are on the outside looking in at the postseason, and need a win over Dallas to sustain momentum.On Sunday evening, Los Angeles hosted the 10-3 Seattle Seahawks and caught their NFC West nemesis off guard in a 28-12 rout.
Jared Goff piled on 293 yards passing and notched two touchdowns, but the fourth-year QB got picked off twice, bringing his touchdown-to-interception ratio to 15:14 on the year.
Todd Gurley gained 79 yards on 23 carries, and the Rams offense accumulated 162 yards rushing on Seattle’s struggling defense. Los Angeles’ secondary got ahold of Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson for five sacks and denied him from the end zone. Seattle’s lone touchdown came on a 55-yard interception return in the third quarter.
On Sunday, the Rams get a 6-7 Cowboys squad that hasn’t defeated a team above .500 all season. On Thursday, Dallas succumbed to then-6-6 Chicago for its fourth defeat in five games and is just one game ahead of second-place Philly in the NFC East.
The Cowboys rank first in passing yards (306.8 YPG), 10th in rushing and seventh in passing defense, yet they can’t seem to figure out how to translate all that talent into victories.
Dallas is favored by one point at home and will meet Los Angeles for the first time since its 30-22 loss in the divisional round of the 2018 playoffs.
The Rams are 4-0 against the spread against teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road underdog. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the Rams and Cowboys, though Dallas is 1-7 ATS when facing a team with a winning record.
On Sunday, the Rams get a 6-7 Cowboys squad that hasn’t defeated a team above .500 all season. On Thursday, Dallas succumbed to then-6-6 Chicago for its fourth defeat in five games and is just one game ahead of second-place Philly in the NFC East.
The Cowboys rank first in passing yards (306.8 YPG), 10th in rushing and seventh in passing defense, yet they can’t seem to figure out how to translate all that talent into victories.
Dallas is favored by one point at home and will meet Los Angeles for the first time since its 30-22 loss in the divisional round of the 2018 playoffs.
The Rams are 4-0 against the spread against teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road underdog. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the Rams and Cowboys, though Dallas is 1-7 ATS when facing a team with a winning record.
Bet on Rams vs. Cowboys here.
New York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens
Thursday, December 12, 8:20 p.m. ET | M&T Bank StadiumThe New York Jets are eliminated from the postseason, but they can still shake up the AFC playoff picture with a victory over the Ravens on Thursday night.
The 5-8 Jets just barely got past the 3-10 Dolphins, as Sam Darnold went 20-of-36 for 270 yards, two TDs and one interception. Star running back Le’Veon Bell sat out with the flu, and safety Jamal Adams nursed a sprained ankle from the sideline. Tight end Ryan Griffin also left Sunday’s game with an ankle injury on the opening drive, while lineman Quinnen Williams and cornerback Kyron Brown fell victim to the injury bug in the second half.
Baltimore is a 15.5-point favorite at home and should get an easy outing against New York’s banged-up roster. The Ravens own the No. 1 rushing attack (200.9 yards per game) and the league’s No. 6 defense (314.6 opponent yards per game), and will encounter the No. 31 offense in the league (271.4 yards per game).
The one bright spot for New York is its No. 2 run defense, but injuries may limit the unit from stopping Lamar Jackson and company. Against Miami’s 32nd-ranked rushing offense, the Jets surrendered 122 yards on the ground, including 65 to quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick.
New York is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games against the AFC and 1-4 ATS in its previous five road games. The team is also 2-6 ATS in the last eight games against the Ravens and 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Baltimore.
The Bills and Steelers enter Week 15 as the projected fifth and sixth seeds, respectively, in the AFC. At 8-5, Pittsburgh has lost just once since October 6 and currently rides a three-win streak. Buffalo, on the other hand, has dropped three games since Week 8, including Sunday’s 24-17 defeat by Baltimore.
The Bills boast the No. 3 defense in the league and held MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson to 40 yards rushing, the dual-threat quarterback’s lowest total since Week 3. The Ravens still gathered 118 yards on the ground, and Jackson passed for another 145 and three scores.
Buffalo never gained a lead on the Ravens and trailed by as much as 15 in the fourth quarter, before receiver Cole Beasley caught a three-yard pass to bring the score within seven points.
In the Steelers’ matchup with the Cardinals on Sunday, quarterback Devlin Hodges completed 16 of 19 passes for 152 yards and one touchdown in his third start of the season. The Pittsburgh rushing attack broke free for 140 yards, including 41 each from 2019 seventh-round draft pick Kerrith Whyte and Benny Snell Jr., plus another 34 from Hodges.
New York is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games against the AFC and 1-4 ATS in its previous five road games. The team is also 2-6 ATS in the last eight games against the Ravens and 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Baltimore.
Bet on Jets vs. Ravens here.
Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, December 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Heinz FieldThe Bills and Steelers enter Week 15 as the projected fifth and sixth seeds, respectively, in the AFC. At 8-5, Pittsburgh has lost just once since October 6 and currently rides a three-win streak. Buffalo, on the other hand, has dropped three games since Week 8, including Sunday’s 24-17 defeat by Baltimore.
The Bills boast the No. 3 defense in the league and held MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson to 40 yards rushing, the dual-threat quarterback’s lowest total since Week 3. The Ravens still gathered 118 yards on the ground, and Jackson passed for another 145 and three scores.
Buffalo never gained a lead on the Ravens and trailed by as much as 15 in the fourth quarter, before receiver Cole Beasley caught a three-yard pass to bring the score within seven points.
In the Steelers’ matchup with the Cardinals on Sunday, quarterback Devlin Hodges completed 16 of 19 passes for 152 yards and one touchdown in his third start of the season. The Pittsburgh rushing attack broke free for 140 yards, including 41 each from 2019 seventh-round draft pick Kerrith Whyte and Benny Snell Jr., plus another 34 from Hodges.
The Steelers’ fifth-ranked defense also held the Cardinals to 265 yards of total offense.
Both Buffalo and Pittsburgh depend on stingy defenses but aren’t quite as intimidating on the other side of the field. The Steelers generate 290.1 yards of offense per game (28th in the league), while Buffalo averages 341.9 yards, good for 20th in the NFL.
The Steelers are slight 1.5-point home favorites in Sunday night’s matchup and have beaten the Bills the previous two times these franchises played one another.
Pittsburgh is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games overall and 6-2 ATS in the last eight versus the AFC. The Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six overall but 1-5 ATS in their previous six meetings with Pittsburgh.
Bet on Bills vs. Steelers here.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New Orleans Saints
Monday, December 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Mercedes Benz SuperdomeHopes of a playoff berth are fading fast for the Indianapolis Colts after the team suffered its third straight loss on Sunday. In a 38-35 shootout with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Colts secondary gave up 474 passing yards and four touchdowns to turnover-prone Jameis Winston and allowed the Bucs to surge back from a 14-point deficit in the third quarter.
Indy has now lost five of its last six games and must face the Saints, Panthers and Jaguars to close out the season. If the Colts had issues against the Bucs, they should experience even more trouble against the NFC South-leading Saints on Monday.
New Orleans entered its Week 14 contest grasping the No. 1 seed in the playoffs but surrendered the top spot to its previous owner, San Francisco, on Sunday. The Niners sank a 30-yard field goal to cap a 48-46 victory as time expired and sent the Saints tumbling down to the third seed in the NFC.
FINAL from New Orleans: Niners 48-Saints 46.
— Forever Quarantined🏈 (@ForeverGridiron) December 8, 2019
The Niners outlast the New Orleans in a WILD shootout on this Robbie Gould field goal! pic.twitter.com/cCIZXhzRVT
The Saints are favored by eight points at home and rank inside the top 15 in both offense and defense. The Colts have struggled in the passing game and average just 207.7 yards per contest (25th in the league), but put up the sixth-most yards per game on the ground.
The Saints feature the No. 5 rushing defense in the NFL and permit 94.2 rushing yards per game. New Orleans is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.
The Colts are 11-2 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and 6-2-2 ATS in the last 10 road games.
Bet on Colts vs. Saints here.
NFL Betting Trends
Looking to build your bankroll? These are the numbers you need to know:
- Home favorites have won just 63% of their games SU in 2019. By contrast, road favorites have won 65% of their games SU
- Road teams have won 57% of their games ATS in 2019. Road dogs have fared even better, winning 59% of their games ATS in 2019
- 52% of all non-overtime games have gone Under the projected point total in 2019
- The Steelers and Rams have been the NFL's most reliable teams against the spread in 2019, covering 69% of the time
- The Bears (3-9-0) have covered just 31% of the time ATS in 2019, but have gone Under 62% of the time
- The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in 2019 when playing on the road
- The Bucs are 0-4-1 ATS in 2019 when playing at home
NFL Week 15 Schedule
Cancel all your plans. Seriously, you won't be going anywhere.
| Matchup | Date | Spread | O/U |
|---|
Jets vs. Ravens | Thu, December 12 @8:20 PM | BAL -14.5 | 45.0 |
Patriots vs. Bengals | Sun, December 15 @1PM | CIN +10 | 40.5 |
Bucs vs. Lions | Sun, December 15 @1PM | DET =3.5 | 47.5 |
Bears vs. Packers | Sun, December 15 @1PM | GB -4.5 | 41.0 |
Texans vs. Titans | Sun, December 15 @1PM | TEN -3 | 48.5 |
Broncos vs. Chiefs | Sun, December 15 @1PM | KC -11 | 45.5 |
Dolphins vs. Giants | Sun, December 15 @1PM | NYG -3.5 | 48.0 |
Eagles vs. Redskins | Sun, December 15 @1PM | WAS +6 | 40.5 |
Seahawks vs. Panthers | Sun, December 15 @1PM | CAR +6 | 48.5 |
Jaguars vs. Raiders | Sun, December 15 @4:05PM | OAK -6 | 45.5 |
Showing 1 to 10 of 16 entries
Get to Know Danielle Hunter
Vikings defensive end Danielle Hunter made history on Sunday when he became the youngest player in NFL history to rack up 50 career sacks. Here are three things you should know about the 25-year-old phenom:
- Hunter was "discovered" by a youth football coach at the age of nine when he spotted the speedster chasing down his best friend, who was on roller skates at the time.
- Hunter was a menace on both sides of the ball at Morton Ranch High School in Katy, Texas. During his senior season he recorded 30 quarterback pressures, 11 tackles for losses and four sacks and he caught four passes for 63 yards and a touchdown.
- Hunter made quite an impression at the 2015 NFL Combine, where he ran the 40-yard dash in a blistering 4.57 seconds.
NFL Audibles
Drew Lock or should I say Buzz Lightyear has himself a day. 22/34 for 309 and 3 TDS. Teammates believe he's brought some swag to the QB spot that's been missing Since Manning retired. Here's what Lock had to say about that. pic.twitter.com/2JBeuEb0gc
— James Palmer (@JamesPalmerTV) December 8, 2019
It took a while, but it appears the Broncos have finally found a true franchise quarterback. Denver is now 2-0 with Lock under center.
Make no mistake about it, 49ers cornerback Richard Sherman is a card-carrying member of the Jimmy G fan club.
#Browns Baker Mayfield when asked about OBJ’s lingering injury:
— mk 🍄 (@MKonSports) December 8, 2019
“I don’t think it was handled right.” pic.twitter.com/kWq8iyTwL0
Love him or hate him, you have to admire the fact that Browns QB Baker Mayfield has never shied away from speaking his mind.
Three and Out
Redskins RB Adrian Peterson further cemented his legacy on Sunday by becoming just the sixth player in NFL history to amass 14,000 rushing yards. Here are three more rushing milestones we could see before the year is up:
- Ravens RB Mark Ingram is 106 yards away from 7,000 career rushing yards
- Jets RB Le’Veon Bell is just 75 yards away from 6,000 career rushing yards
- Bills RB Frank Gore is just one TD away from 80 career rushing touchdowns
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