Rams vs. Bengals: The best Matt Stafford prop bets for Super Bowl LVI

When the Los Angeles Rams traded for Matt Stafford from the Detroit Lions just over one year ago, they thought they were getting an upgrade at quarterback over Jared Goff, and they were right.

Stafford has been instrumental in the Rams’ journey to Super Bowl LVI, and now L.A. is just one dynamic performance from him away from winning their second-ever Vince Lombardi Trophy.

There are plenty of passing props to consider for Stafford, but we’ll highlight our three favorites below.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals, Feb. 13, 6:30 p.m. ET, NBC

Matt Stafford Over/Under 278.5 passing yards

Stafford has been dialed in over his last two postseason games, torching the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for 366 passing yards in the Divisional Round before burning the vaunted San Francisco 49ers’ stoppers for 337 yards through the air. The Cincinnati Bengals were able to flummox Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs for the entire second half of the AFC Championship Game, but bettors shouldn’t put too much stock into that.

The Bengals were 26th in stopping the pass during the regular season, allowing over 248 yards per game through the air. Through three postseason games, their opponent passing yards per game average is an uninspiring 243.7.

Don’t be shocked if Stafford picks this unit apart throughout Super Bowl LVI.

NFL pick: Over (-113)

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Matt Stafford Over/Under 69.50% completion rate

This unique prop is a wonderful way to diversify a bettor’s investment in Stafford for the big game.

The Bengals allowed the seventh-worst opponent completion rate during the regular season at 67.1%. Stafford has a completion percentage of 73.7% or better against his last three opponents not named the 49ers.

If Stafford doesn’t need to beat the Bengals with a barrage of yardage, he should at least be efficient.

NFL pick: Over (-112)

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Player to throw most touchdowns: Joe Burrow vs. Matt Stafford

Stafford beat Bengals signal caller Joe Burrow in regular season touchdowns, 41-34, and leads his opposite number in playoff scores 6-4 so far. It’s only logical that the former Georgia Bulldog would be favored in this market.

Stafford has nine games with three or more passing touchdowns on the year, while Burrow has just six. He’s also facing off with the more forgiving defense, as Cincinnati’s stoppers were 20th in opponent passing touchdowns (26), while the Rams were second (17).

This prop may be best played straight-up, rather than in a parlay, as the chance of a push is elevated. But bettors should feel confident that Burrow won’t beat Stafford in passing scores.

NFL pick: Matt Stafford (-157)