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Super Bowl LVIII Picks and Prop Wagers

San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) looks to pass during an NFL game between the Minnesota Vikings and San Francisco 49ers on October 23, 2023, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.(Photo by Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire)

James Scully headshot
James Scully

February 10th, 2024

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Super Bowl LVIII features a compelling matchup between the reigning champion, Kansas City, and the team favored most of the season to win the Super Bowl — San Francisco. The Niners have held as a slight favorite, but the Chiefs are popular with bettors, taking more than 50% of the side wagers on the game.

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Super Bowl LVIII game analysis

Kansas City’s offensive line struggled at times during the regular season as its tackles led the league in penalties, and the Chiefs lost All-Pro guard Joe Thuney in the Divisional Round. Their top run-stopper, defensive end Charles Omenihu, went down in the championship game, and San Francisco will take advantage.

San Francisco squandered a double-digit lead to Kansas City in Super Bowl LIV, outscored 21-0 in the fourth quarter, but Kyle Shanahan and the Niners will learn from the experience. The Niners will establish a physical presence that Baltimore and Buffalo lacked, frustrating Patrick Mahomes in the pocket while double- or triple-teaming Travis Kelce, and they will make Kansas City’s other receivers beat them. That won’t happen.

Kansas City’s offense is way down from last year’s Super Bowl team, but the Chiefs have a psychological edge over AFC opponents in the postseason, and found their best form when frustrating Baltimore in the AFC Championship Game. San Francisco won’t be fazed by their culture and a limited approach 100% reliant on Kelce being a major factor. The Niners have the skill players and offensive linemen to establish the run and the short-passing game, which will enable downfield opportunities as the game progresses, and San Francisco won’t allow Kansas City to come from behind in this year’s Super Bowl.

Super Bowl selection: San Francisco -2

Ready for a show in Vegas. #SBLVIII https://t.co/gxOWYyGWk3

— Super Bowl (@SuperBowl) January 29, 2024

Super Bowl LVIII Total

Both defenses are formidable, as two of the top three scoring defenses in the league. Kansas City has not given up more than 27 points to any team all season, and no team has been better defensively since the start of January. Plus, the Chiefs lack offensive firepower, easily leading the lead with 14 of their 20 games this season going Under so far.

The Niners will look to establish the run, utilizing time-consuming drives to wear down Kansas City’s offense, and we expect a relatively low-scoring game.

Super Bowl total selection: Under 47.5

Super Bowl Props

Here are five prop plays of interest in Super Bowl LVIII.

Christian McCaffrey: 35+ Rushing Yards in Each Half -110

Deebo Samuel: Any Time Touchdown Scorer +155

George Kittle: Over 49.5 Receiving Yards -120

Travis Kelce: Under 70.5 Receiving Yards +100

Brock Purdy: Over 12.5 Rushing Yards -115

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